The metro adds people faster than almost anywhere in the country. This exhibit asks the question that follows: is church planting keeping up? Each division shades by its new congregations per 100,000 residents in a five-year window, and the four windows below cover two decades side by side. Read them left to right and the story is not that planting stopped: the metro recorded 73 plantings in 2006–2010 and 56 in 2020–2024. It is that the city pulled ahead. Roughly 780,000 more people now live here, so the same planting effort covers less of the city every year, and the rate fell from 4.6 per 100,000 residents to 2.4.
Plantings per 100,000 residents, per window
Up to 1
1 to 2
2 to 4
4 to 7
Over 7
No recorded plantings
Which division is which
2006–2010
73 plantings metro-wide, 4.6 per 100,000 residents
2011–2015
74 plantings metro-wide, 4.0 per 100,000 residents
2016–2020
67 plantings metro-wide, 3.1 per 100,000 residents
2020–2024
56 plantings metro-wide, 2.4 per 100,000 residents
The same measure in four windows drawn side by side, so the change reads as one picture. The fifteen ACS editions overlap by four years each; these four are the nearest the series has to disjoint coverage, and the last two windows share the single year 2020. The shades step at 1, 2, 4, 7 plantings per 100,000, the same bins the scrubbing map below uses. On a computer, hover a division for its counts. Two cautions: a small division's shade can turn on a single planting, and earlier windows undercount plants that closed.
Scrub the spans yourself
The four windows above are cut from fifteen overlapping census editions. The map below scrubs across all of them, one edition at a time, for anyone who wants to watch the measure move year by year.
Drawing the fifteen divisions
Each division shades by its congregations founded within an ACS edition's five-year span, per 100,000 of that edition's population estimate, so both halves of the ratio describe the same five years. Two cautions travel with it. A small division's shade can turn on a single planting, so hover for the raw counts before reading a dark polygon as a movement. And a plant that closed young leaves no mark here, so earlier spans undercount what was actually tried. Congregations from the Society database as of 2026-10-10; population from the American Community Survey 5-year estimates via the Census Bureau API, fetched 2026-08-21. ACS figures are estimates and carry margins of error.
Where is the gap widest, and who is praying about it?
Find the divisions that stay light span after span while their population climbs. Their prayer guides name what is already there and what is not yet.
If your church could plant or send, this map is the case in one picture: write to us about the light divisions, and bring the explorer's residents-per-church view to the same conversation.
If a founding year is wrong or a congregation is missing, email info@missionatx.org. This site gets better when the people it describes correct it.
What the numbers are telling us
The Greater Austin Mission Society writes about the church in this metro: what this data shows, what it does not, and what we think it asks of us. The letters are free and written for leaders here.